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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-10 08:52 AM | 显示全部楼层


本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-10 11:29 编辑

6/10/2010
[Bearish sentiment at 11-month high]

http://www.bespokeinvest.com/thi ... ven-month-high.html

This week's sentiment survey from Investors Intelligence showed that bearish sentiment among newsletter writers is now up to 31.9% which is an eleven month high.  Although the levels of bearish sentiment are still no where near the extreme highs we saw during the last bear market, the inability of stocks to 'snap back' from the recent declines certainly has advisors on edge.

[U.S. export at 2nd highest since Oct. 2008]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... PCU72GwJM&pos=2

Exports decreased 0.7 percent to $148.8 billion, reflecting declines in shipments of pharmaceuticals, soybeans and generators. Even with the drop, the level of exports was the second-highest since October 2008, pointing to a rebound in global economic growth.

[Ongoing unemployment filing at lowest level since Dec 2008]
http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/10/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm

A government report showed that jobless claims fell 3,000 to 456,000 last week. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com expected filings to slide to 450,000. Meanwhile, the number of Americans filing for ongoing unemployment insurance sank by 255,000 to the lowest level since December 2008.

[Foreclosure, banks seizing more and owners filing less]
http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/10/ ... eclosures/index.htm

Banks are seizing more foreclosed homes even as the number of people falling behind on their mortgages is declining.

Bank repossessions hit a record monthly high in May, according to RealtyTrac, the online marketer of foreclosed properties. Lenders took back 93,777 properties, up 1% from the previous month's record and 44% from the same period a year earlier.

Foreclosure filings, meanwhile, fell by 3% from a month earlier and edged up less than 1% from May 2009. One in every 400 homes received a foreclosure notice last month.

"Lenders appear to be ramping up the pace of completing those forestalled foreclosures even while the inflow of delinquencies into the foreclosure process has slowed," said James Saccacio, RealtyTrac's chief executive.
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发表于 2010-6-9 10:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-9 10:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-10 02:54 编辑

6/9 - 6/10 Midnight
[China exports jump 48.5%]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... tFrl.Vkwk&pos=2

China’s exports jumped 48.5 percent in May from a year earlier, the biggest gain in more than six years, indicating that Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis has yet to pose a restraint on the world’s fastest-growing major economy.

The increase, announced on the customs bureau’s website today, surpassed all 32 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. Imports rose 48.3 percent, leaving a trade surplus of $19.53 billion.

Today’s data may prove only a temporary boon after the International Monetary Fund warned yesterday that global economic risks have “risen significantly” and Europe’s woes could disrupt global trade. China has so far retained a crisis policy of pegging the yuan to the dollar, resulting in a 20 percent gain against the euro this year that will make exports to that region less competitive with rivals such as South Korea.

[BOE may keep up stimulus]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... o4724PG78&pos=5

The Bank of England will probably keep its emergency stimulus in place today to nurture economic growth as Prime Minister David Cameron prepares the deepest cuts in public spending since at least the early 1980s.

Policy makers, led by Governor Mervyn King, will probably maintain the bank’s bond holdings at 200 billion pounds ($290 billion) and the benchmark interest rate at a record low of 0.5 percent, according to all economists in two Bloomberg News surveys. The bank will announce its decision at noon in London.

King is seeking to shield the economy from the sovereign debt crisis sweeping the euro region as Cameron’s government prepares an emergency budget on June 22 to tackle what Fitch Ratings calls a “formidable” debt burden. Bank of England officials have said inflation, which currently exceeds the government’s 3 percent upper limit, will slow and allow them to maintain stimulus in the economy.

“There’s no great incentive for the bank to tighten now,” David Tinsley, an economist at National Australia Bank and a former Bank of England official, said in a telephone interview yesterday. “In a good few months if inflation is still high that situation may change.”

[Google, water in the head]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... 7uYsYzyBs&pos=7

Google Inc., which moved its Chinese site offshore to avoid local censorship rules, said the U.S. and European Union governments should press China on Internet restrictions as they represent barriers to trade.

Google’s Chief Legal Officer David Drummond made the remarks to reporters in Brussels yesterday, according to the company’s spokesman Scott Rubin, who confirmed a report on his comments by the Associated Press.

The Mountain View, California-based company is seeking government support after it began redirecting users to its Hong Kong site to avoid Chinese government requirements to censor Web queries. The move has cost Google share in the world’s most populous Internet market and was called “totally wrong” by the Chinese government.

“Censorship, in addition to being a human-rights problem, is a trade barrier,” Drummond said, according to the AP report. “The censorship, of course, is for political purposes but it is also used as a way of keeping multinational companies disadvantaged in the market.”
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-8 11:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
6/8 - 6/9 Midnight
[Investors will vote with their money]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... CKRUnSRAQ&pos=8

Newly elected British Prime Minister David Cameron enjoys the backing of investors, while Europeans are more sour on his German counterpart, Angela Merkel, a Bloomberg survey shows.

Cameron, 43, the Conservative Party leader who replaced Labour’s Gordon Brown last month, gets a favorable rating of 52 percent, while 15 percent of respondents have an unfavorable opinion, according to a global quarterly poll of 1,001 investors and analysts who are Bloomberg subscribers. In Europe, his approval rating is 63 percent. That is a stark contrast to his predecessor; only about a quarter of investors had a favorable view of Brown in the previous survey in January.

Merkel, 55, the German chancellor who is leading efforts to manage the euro zone’s debt crisis, is viewed unfavorably by more than half of those polled in Europe and by 40 percent worldwide.

In the poll, Merkel does far better with respondents outside her continent. In Europe, 53 percent of investors have an unfavorable opinion of her, while in the U.S., she gets a 51 percent favorability rating, and 46 percent in Asia.

Of the other figures in the poll, investors remain bullish on U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, who is viewed favorably by two-thirds of respondents. His numbers are strongest in Asia, where 72 percent of poll participants have a positive view.

Paul Volcker, the former Fed chairman who now leads Obama’s Economic Recovery Board, is viewed favorably by half of those in the poll.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s ratings have moved higher since last measured by the poll in January, with 54 percent now having a favorable view of her.

In the U.S., 47 percent have a positive view of Clinton, while 53 percent have that opinion in Europe. More than two- thirds in Asia have a positive view of the former first lady and U.S. senator.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-8 09:01 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-8 19:22 编辑

6/8/2010
[Tightening belt like Hoover]

http://online.barrons.com/articl ... html?mod=BOL_hps_dc (May require subscription)

WHEN EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK President Jean-Claude Trichet asserted last weekend that the fiscal retrenchment taking place in the European Union ought to boost consumer confidence and thereby spur economic recovery, it sounded awfully familiar to students of economic history.

"Nothing is more important than balancing the budget," asserted President Herbert Hoover in 1931 as he sought a huge tax increase in the midst of the Great Depression. The tax hike would be "indispensable to the restoration of confidence and to the very start of economic recovery," he added.

And while the popular view of Hoover was of hidebound Republican fiscal conservative, he reflected the bipartisan consensus. The Democratic Party platform of 1932 called for the federal budget to be balanced immediately, while then-candidate Franklin D. Roosevelt excoriated the Hoover administration for running budget deficits.

Clearly, countries such as Greece, Portugal and Spain have no choice to go through the fiscal wringer to stave off insolvency. But nations whose deficits are not the result of years of profligacy but the worst economic downturn since the 1930s would do better to go slowly in fiscal tightening while the growth remains weak and unemployment is high.

That is, if we don't want to repeat the record of the 1930s.

[U.S. to tighten belt]
http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/08/ ... ag_budget/index.htm

The administration issued new budget guidance calling on non-security agencies to propose ways to cut their budgets by 5%, and called on all agencies -- both defense and non-defense -- to identify their worst-performing programs.

The directives are a means to what fiscal experts say is a very modest end: a three-year spending freeze on non-defense discretionary spending. President Obama proposed the freeze months ago.

The White House estimates that the freeze could save $250 billion over 10 years, or $25 billion a year. That represents less than 1% of the approximately $3.5 trillion federal budget.

[Employers are more confident]
http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/08/ ... nt_survey/index.htm

The survey found that 18% of employers intend to increase staff, up from 16% in the previous quarter. That's higher than the 15% recorded for the same period last year and marks the third quarter in a row of positive readings.

On the other side of the equation, 8% of employers told Manpower that they planned to decrease hiring during the third quarter. That's the same percentage as in the second quarter, but less than the 13% who reported planned cuts for the third quarter last year.

[The truth about CMBS]
http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/07/ ... h.fortune/index.htm

Despite CMBS hurtling toward higher default rates, however, investors who have faith in them are practicing some serious compartmentalization. They say that there are only some CMBS -- and some tranches of CMBS -- that will be hurt. They believe that the highest-rated tranches, rated triple-A, are in no danger.

They also say that CMBS could never create as much havoc as their residential cousins because of their structure: They are made of whole loans that haven't been chopped up as much in the Wall Street sausage factory, and are based on stronger assets.

The tranches most likely to be hurt, of course, are those with the worst ratings - the triple Bs. These were the biggest victims of lax underwriting standards. According to Commercial Mortgage Alert, the boom years of 2005 through 2007 saw a total of $602 billion in CMBS issuance. (The CMBS written during those three years, by the way, account for a whopping 49% of all CMBS written over the past 20 years.) Those are likely to be the problematic securities. The CMBS written before and after don't have as much leverage put on them, say investors.

CMBS, however, accounts for only about 20% of the total loan market, according to Jones Lang LaSalle's Roberts. The bigger danger to the capital markets -- and to banks -- are speculative commercial loans, like those in construction and land loans. Those aren't backed by firm assets and are a key part of the reason that many smaller banks have failed in recent years. It is these loans, in particular, that worry Warren and others, and could yet bring a reckoning to CRE.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-7 10:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
6/7 - 6/8 Midnight
[Bernanke says to tighten rate before "full employment"]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... adJQ3Ufrk&pos=7

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. recovery probably won’t quickly bring down the unemployment rate, which is likely to stay “high for a while.”

Given the depth of the recession, the recovery is “moderate paced,” Bernanke said last night in a question-and- answer session with Sam Donaldson, the ABC News journalist, in Washington. In Europe, policy makers “are committed to avoiding default in Greece” and elsewhere, he said.

While the Fed will raise interest rates from a record low before the economy returns to “full employment,” Bernanke said officials don’t know when that process will start. The banking system isn’t fully healthy and lenders are “cautious” in providing credit, he said.

“The unemployment rate is still going to be high for a while, and that means that a lot of people are going to be under financial stress,” Bernanke said at the event, part of a dinner hosted by the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars.

Bernanke’s stance is consistent with that of several Fed colleagues. Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said June 3 that the central bank may need to raise rates even with “unacceptable levels of unemployment,” while Eric Rosengren of the Boston Fed said last month it wouldn’t be “appropriate” to have rates close to zero with the economy at full employment.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-7 02:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-7 21:17 编辑

6/7/2010
[Fiscally united Europe]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... m3xjJ8f2U&pos=5

European finance ministers put the finishing touches on a rescue fund being backed by 440 billion euros ($526 billion) in national guarantees, seeking to halt the spread of Greece’s debt crisis.

The European Financial Stability Facility would sell bonds backed by the guarantees and use the money it raises to make loans to euro-area nations in need, the finance ministers decided today in Luxembourg. The new mechanism would sell debt for lending only after an aid request is made by a country.

The ministers aim for ratings companies to assign a AAA rating to the facility, whose bonds would be eligible for European Central Bank refinancing operations. The entity will be based in Luxembourg.

“We’ve sent a clear signal of stability,” Austrian Finance Minister Josef Proell told reporters at the Luxembourg meeting. “We’ve opened the rescue umbrella and I’m convinced it’s working.”

[Investors favor U.S.]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... KS19YZJ60&pos=1

The U.S. has supplanted China and Brazil as the most attractive market for investors as confidence in the global economic recovery wanes in the wake of the Greek debt crisis.

Investors are putting their money on President Barack Obama’s stewardship of the U.S. economy even as his job- approval rating has declined, according to a global quarterly poll of investors and analysts who are Bloomberg subscribers.

Almost 4 of 10 respondents picked the U.S. as the market presenting the best opportunities in the year ahead. That’s more than double the portion who said so last October, when the U.S. was rated the market posing the greatest downside risk by a plurality of respondents.

Lawrence Summers, director of the White House National Economic Council, said this attests to Obama’s success in “restoring the United States to strong economic fundamentals.” He added that “while there remains much to do, the U.S. economy is growing.”

“We’ve seen the bottom; we’re firm, and the United States is slowly moving forward,” said Wayne Smith, 51, managing director of fixed-income trading at Uniondale, New York-based Northeast Securities, which manages $3.5 billion.

Following the U.S.’s 39 percent rating as the most promising market were Brazil, chosen by 29 percent; China, 28 percent; and India, 27 percent. Those are three of the four so- called BRICs, large emerging markets that also include Russia. Just 6 percent chose Russia.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-6 10:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
6/6 - 6/7 Midnight
[Rare signs of optimism]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... _m8X3rQY4&pos=3

While government debt strains in Europe are keeping indicators of credit risk at or near the 10-month highs reached in May, the drop in asset prices is “in the process of bottoming out,” according to Barclays Capital. The easing in bank funding may signal concerns of another credit-market seizure are overblown, said Aviva Investors’ John Hawley.

“Libor mitigates some of the fears investors have,” said Hawley, who helps manage $19 billion of investment-grade credit as a senior money manager at the investment firm in Des Moines, Iowa. “The fact it has flattened recently indicates that financial markets are functioning normally.”

The extra yield investors demand to own corporate bonds rather than government debt is rising at a slower pace. Spreads rose 3 basis points last week to 196 basis points, or 1.96 percentage points, after soaring 44 basis points in May, the most since at least November 2008, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Global Broad Market Corporate Index. Average yields fell to 4.05 percent from 4.06 percent on May 28.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-6 01:37 AM | 显示全部楼层
6/6/2010
[First quarter job cuts fell to the lowest since 2000, and more]

http://online.barrons.com/articl ... mod=twm_departments (May require subscription)

"Good employees are much more comfortable with taking a vacation and aren't worried their job could disappear when they get back," says John Challenger, head of outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. "We've turned a corner" in hiring, he says, with companies thinly staffed and managers worried not about survival, but about retaining people. "It's kind of put employees back in the driver's seat," Challenger says. He notes first-quarter job cuts fell 69% to 181,183, the lowest first-quarter total since 2000.

The growing confidence is also reflected in travel bookings. In its bimonthly May survey, travel agency Altour found demand rising across all categories. The leisure industry's health is also shown by a decline in the survey's tally of cancelled bookings for May; 43% of agents reported no cancellations, compared with 26% for May 2009.

Europe, spurred by the euro's drop, has returned as the No. 1 travel destination. And Altour says the tide in the cruise market has clearly turned, with 44% of its agents seeing high demand in the premium segment, compared with 17% in May 2009.

All this should lead to hiring growth in the leisure and hospitality industries, Challenger says, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting a 58% rise in hiring for the segment in March and April. With gas prices lower, the open road beckons.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-4 04:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-4 19:22 编辑

6/4/2010
[Unemployment rate drops, hourly earning rises]

http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/04/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm

The unemployment rate dropped to 9.7% from 9.9%, beating expectations for a drop to 9.8%.

On the upside, hourly earnings increased 0.3% after flattening out in April. Economists thought earnings would increase 0.1%.

[Gross said to focus on U.S. long term Treasuries]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... T2XkgEq2A&pos=4

Gross, Pimco’s co-chief investment officer and manager of the world’s biggest bond fund, said Treasuries in the 5- to 10- year range and 30-year debt has become “the focus for us.” He boosted his fund’s investment in U.S. government-related debt in April to the highest level in five months. The increase came even after Gross said in March that “bonds have seen their best days” during a separate Bloomberg Radio interview.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-4 12:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-4 06:34 编辑

6/3 - 6/4 Midnight
[Corporate loan market tightened up]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... UjH.uNz0Q&pos=3

The margin Calpine offered to pay over lending benchmarks for a $1.3 billion loan increased by as much as 2 percentage points to 5.5 percentage points, while the remaining companies had to raise rates from 0.75 percentage point to 4.5 percentage points, according to people familiar with the talks who declined to be identified because the terms weren’t set. For Houston- based Calpine, that’s an extra $26 million a year in interest.

Prices of high-yield, high-risk loans fell 3.89 percent during last month as measured by the S&P/LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan 100 Index as investors fled all but the safest government securities amid growing concern that rising budget deficits in Europe will cause the global economy to slow. The selloff created bargains among existing debt, reducing the attractiveness of new loans.

“There’s a lack of desperation to buy new issue, it’s got to be compelling in terms of price and structure,” Jeff Cohen, a managing director of loan capital markets at Credit Suisse Group AG in New York, said in an interview. “Investors are being much more choosy, they’re seeing compelling opportunities in the secondary market that were not available prior to the recent market turbulence.”

[Expect a fruitless G20 meeting]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... 0tCA6fHo4&pos=5

The Group of 20 nations is split on the scale and timing of increases in bank-capital requirements that have been under discussion since governments were forced to bail out lenders, an official from a G-20 government said.

Countries such as the U.S. whose economies are largely financed by markets want banks to be required to hold more assets on their balance sheets to buffer against future crises, said the official, who will attend this weekend’s talks of G-20 finance chiefs in Busan, South Korea. Policy makers in continental Europe, where banks provide more financing, are concerned that too-high reserves risk choking off growth, the official told reporters on condition he not be named.

“Anything that impacts banks will have a bigger effect in Europe than the U.S., where capital markets play a bigger role,” said Douglas Elliott, a fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington and a former managing director at JPMorgan Chase & Co. “There’s quite high agreement that capital rules need to change, but differences on just how to do it.”

The European Central Bank calculates that at the end of 2007, the stock of outstanding bank loans to consumers and companies stood at around 145 percent of GDP in the euro area and 63 percent in the U.S. By contrast, the amount raised from issuing debt in markets totaled 81 percent of GDP in the euro area and 168 percent in the U.S.

Both the U.S. and Europe are also advocating regulatory models that build on their own existing rulebooks and so would give their banks a competitive edge if implemented globally, said Elliott.

[Crisis spread to real economy]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... yRp3MhwDM&pos=6

Bomba Elias, a Spanish maker of pumps and filters, had to forgo orders and shed 40 percent of its workforce after Caixa Catalunya canceled credit lines of 750,000 euros ($912,000).

The family that owns Componentes Electricos Inco SL, a producer of cables and switches in Sabadell, near Barcelona, was forced to sell a building to keep the company afloat when three savings banks pulled 380,000 euros of credit.

Their fate underscores how the worsening state of Spain’s savings banks, which account for more than half of the country’s outstanding loans, has squeezed companies in the euro region’s fourth-largest economy. The banks, known as “cajas,” are scaling back lending as rising defaults on real-estate loans and shrinking revenue erode profits and eat into capital. They lack shareholders to tap for funds and have seen their own borrowing costs climb.

“The cajas are weak and if they can’t fund themselves, it’s obvious they can’t lend to us,” said Francesc Elias, the owner of Bomba Elias, a company with about 20 employees based in Rubi, near Barcelona.

[Europe to charge financial transaction tax]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... HL1TglB9E&pos=7

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said he’s confident the U.K. and “many others” will join Germany in pushing for a European levy on all financial transactions if the Group of 20 fails to adopt the measure.

Schaeuble, in an interview on his plane to Busan, South Korea, where he’s meeting G-20 counterparts today, said that Germany’s main goal in the talks is identifying how to make the finance industry share in the cost of the current crisis, specifically through a global financial-transactions tax.

In the absence of such an agreement at G-20 level, “we will throw our weight behind European regulation and we won’t be alone in that,” Schaeuble said. “I hope that the U.K. and Germany together will push for a global transaction tax. In talks with my British colleague I understood him to suggest that he’s open for a global solution.”
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-3 08:12 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-3 13:35 编辑

6/3/2010
[European banks don't want to lend to each other]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... 71WMVDAV4&pos=6

Overnight deposits with the European Central Bank rose to a record yesterday as the sovereign debt crisis made banks wary of lending to each other.

Banks lodged 320.4 billion euros ($394 billion) in the ECB’s overnight deposit facility at 0.25 percent, compared with 316.4 billion euros the previous day, the Frankfurt-based central bank said in a market notice today. That’s the most since the start of the euro currency in 1999. Deposits have exceeded 300 billion euros for the past five days.

Banks are parking cash with the ECB amid investor concern that a 750 billion-euro European rescue package may not be enough to stop the crisis from spreading and spilling into the banking industry. The ECB said on May 31 that banks will have to write off more loans this year than in 2009 and their ability to sell bonds may be hampered as governments seek to finance fiscal deficits.

“The banking crisis is back,” said Norbert Aul, an interest-rate strategist at Commerzbank AG in London. “The news flow over the past few weeks has spooked banks and since nobody knows how exposed individual financial institutions are, it’s deemed safer to park cash with the ECB rather than lend it on.”

[Investors pulling more money out of stock market]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... _3tobUno8&pos=7

Investors fled U.S. equities for the fourth straight week in the period ended May 26, pulling $13.4 billion from domestic stock funds and bringing withdrawals in the trailing month to about $24 billion, according to data compiled by the Investment Company Institute, a trade group in Washington.

[State finances hitting bottom]
http://money.cnn.com/2010/06/03/ ... dget_gaps/index.htm

Governors' recommended budgets called for a 3.6% increase in spending -- the first after a record two years of declines, according to the report, which was conducted with the National Association of State Budget Officers.

That would bring general fund spending to $635.3 billion, still a far cry from the $687.3 billion expended in fiscal 2008, before the Great Recession hit.

Tax revenues are expected to climb to $495.8 billion in fiscal 2011, up from $477.4 billion the previous year but down from the $541.5 billion collected in fiscal 2008.

Still, states have to close budget gaps totaling about $127 billion between now and fiscal 2012. This means governors and lawmakers will have to continue to slash spending. Some 13 states are planning to cut expenditures in the coming year, while 18 states are recommending tax increases totaling $3 billion.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-2 11:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
6/2 - 6/3 Midnight
[Investor still avoid risky asset]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... pOe8oglQU&pos=4

Sales of covered bonds are accelerating as investors seek debt backed by collateral amid concern about the creditworthiness of governments and banks.

About $5.7 billion of the securities have been sold or are being marketed this week worldwide, almost double last week’s total, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Bank of Montreal, Canada’s fourth-largest bank, sold $2 billion of the bonds due in 2015.

Demand for securities backed by mortgages and public-sector loans with top ratings is rising as European governments from Greece to Spain struggle to cut record budget deficits, threatening the region’s banks. Covered bonds returned 0.25 percent in May, compared with a 0.4 percent loss on global investment-grade company debt, Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data show.

“In this new world where volatility is high,” it’s “certainly an advantage to be holding bonds that have collateral backing,” said Georg Grodzki, head of credit research at Legal & General Investment Management in London. The company, which oversees almost 300 billion pounds ($440 billion), is a “selective buyer” of covered bonds, favoring notes sold by northern European issuers, he said.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-2 08:55 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diffusion 于 2010-6-2 16:30 编辑

6/2/2010
[About the dark pool]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... p3SoTdY3w&pos=5

“Systems like Liquidnet really save investors a tremendous amount of money,” said Merrin, chief executive officer of Liquidnet, which runs a dark pool. He spoke during a Bloomberg Television interview in New York today. “They need to mask their intent,” he added.

Investors use dark pools to hide their identities and the size of positions they are trying to buy or sell in order to avoid tipping off traders who may profit from that information. Dark pools tracked by Rosenblatt Securities Inc. traded 1.12 billion shares a day in April, or a record 11.5 percent of U.S. equities volume, a May 28 report from the brokerage said.

Executives from Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. and NYSE Euronext, which run public stock exchanges in the U.S., have criticized dark pools, saying they’re subject to weaker regulations that give them advantages in attracting orders. Thirty-two dark pools operated in the third quarter, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission.

[Swap spreads fall, by 4 bps]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... 9gZGVuzy8&pos=4

U.S. swap spreads narrowed as European banks refrained from seeking dollar-denominated funds at the European Central Bank’s tender today, easing concern financial institutions faced a funding shortage.

The difference between yields on two-year Treasuries and the rate to convert fixed payments to floating fell as much as 2 basis points to 44 basis points, or 0.44 percentage point. It was the second day of declines. The ECB said it received no bids for its auctions of dollars today at 1.21 percent interest after allocating $5.4 billion last week at its seven-day tender.

“It’s a pullback from the fear risks that were being priced into the banking system,” said Ian Lyngen, a government bond strategist at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. “We are not necessarily at panic-type levels where people believed they need to borrow at the implicit penalty rate to get dollars from the ECB.”

Two-year swap spreads were 1 basis point lower at 45.13 basis points at 12:49 p.m. in New York. The five-year swap spread narrowed 1 basis point to 33.25 basis points, and 10-year spreads were little changed. The 30-year differential widened 0.9 basis point to minus 15.63 basis points.

[Buffet expects terrible problem for muni]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... XP9I_j5Yc&pos=2

Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway Inc. has been trimming its investment in municipal debt, predicted a “terrible problem” for the bonds in coming years.

“There will be a terrible problem and then the question becomes will the federal government help,” Buffett, 79, said today at a hearing of the U.S. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in New York. “I don’t know how I would rate them myself. It’s a bet on how the federal government will act over time.”

Berkshire’s investment portfolio included municipal bonds valued at less than $3.9 billion as of March 31, down from more than $4.7 billion at the end of 2008. The company had a maximum of $16 billion at risk in derivatives tied to such debt, according to the company’s annual report for 2009.

Buffett, Berkshire’s chairman and chief executive, has previously warned about the risks of insuring municipal bonds. In his annual letter to shareholders in 2009, he said public officials may be tempted to default on bonds whose payments are guaranteed by insurance companies rather than push through needed tax increases. He said guaranteeing municipal bonds against default “has the look today of a dangerous business.”

Local governments rely on the $2.8 trillion municipal bond market to raise money for construction projects and fund other budget items. The financial crisis and recession battered governments across the U.S. by cutting into tax collections and causing pension-fund losses. Some governments failed to set aside enough money to cover retirement benefits promised to employees, which may place increasing strain on public finance.

[Business travel comes back]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... wliv_Dfek&pos=7

The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index of 12 carriers climbed as much as 5.7 percent to its highest intraday value since April 20. Continental said late yesterday that May revenue from each seat flown a mile rose in a range of 23 percent to 24 percent.

The results “were driven by higher-than-anticipated prices, which we attribute to a rebound in higher fare-paying business travelers and fare surcharges implemented during peak travel days,” Derchin wrote in a report.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-6-1 08:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
6/1 - 6/2 Midnight
[Bond new issues dried out]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... j6QN9rkQ8&pos=4

The market for corporate bond sales remained shut as concern that banks in Europe will take more writedowns and losses led investors to shun all but the safest government securities.

There were no corporate bond sales in the U.S. today, compared with $2.2 billion on the corresponding day following the holiday weekend in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In Europe, 1.35 billion euros ($1.66 billion) was raised from two sales of covered bonds, versus 6.5 billion euros of bond issuance a year earlier, Bloomberg data show.

The global new issue market failed to revive after declining to $70 billion last month, less than half of April’s tally and the least since August 2003, Bloomberg data show. The Frankfurt-based European Central Bank forecast that banks will have to write off 195 billion euros of bad debts by 2011, according to a biannual report published May 31.
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发表于 2010-6-1 12:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
这个帖子的排序不正常啊
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-31 10:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
5/31-6/1 Midnight
[John Paulson got trapped this time]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... l0mzlTekk&pos=4

John Paulson, Louis Bacon and Andreas Halvorsen navigated the global market turmoil of 2008 with little or no damage. They weren’t as successful last month as the Dow Jones Industrial average had its worst May since 1940.

Hedge funds lost an average of 2.7 percent through May 27, according to the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, as the sovereign debt crisis in Europe triggered declines in stocks, the euro and commodities, and the gap in yields between U.S. short-term and long-term debt narrowed. It was the biggest decline since November 2008, when hedge funds lost 3 percent in the wake of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s bankruptcy two months earlier.

Almost every strategy lost money in May, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc. in Chicago, as the Dow index of 30 big stocks sank 7.6 percent including dividends amid speculation that Greece’s debt problems would spread to nations such as Spain and Portugal. Some of the best-known funds saw their gains for this year erased.

“Attempting to manage risk in an environment where everything that could go wrong does go wrong seems like a fruitless endeavor,” said Brad Balter, who runs Balter Capital Management LLC, a Boston firm that invests in hedge funds for clients. “The only defense that seems to work in months like these is being in cash.”

Paulson’s Advantage fund dropped 6.9 percent through May 21, dragging it to a year-to-date loss of 3.3 percent, according to investors with knowledge of the results, who asked not to be named because the information is private. Halvorsen’s Viking Global fund fell 3.4 percent in the same span and 2.9 percent for the year. Bacon’s Moore Global declined 7.7 percent as of May 20 and 4.8 percent in 2010, investors said.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-31 01:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
05/30 - 05/31 Midnight
[Bernanke says to delay tightening]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... RTGx0hN4k&pos=6

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said central banks around the world will probably unwind monetary expansion at different times because of differences among their economies.

“In the medium term, like the Federal Reserve and many other central banks, the Bank of Korea will have to manage its exit from accommodative policies,” Bernanke said in pre- recorded remarks to a conference hosted by South Korea’s central bank in Seoul today. The Bank of Korea “will have to weigh the risks of a premature exit against those of leaving expansionary policies in place for too long,” Bernanke said.

The Fed chief didn’t elaborate on the outlook for the U.S. economy or monetary policy. Bernanke praised South Korea’s response to the global financial crisis over the last few years, including its decisions to reduce its policy interest rate by 3.25 percentage points and to set up a fund to keep its banking system stable.

“This suite of policy responses helped stabilize Korean financial markets and promote a swift recovery of economic activity,” Bernanke told the Bank of Korea event, according to a text distributed by the Fed in Washington.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-29 08:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
5/29/2010
[Temporary-worker trends turned positive]

http://online.barrons.com/articl ... mod=twm_departments (May require subscription)

Temporary-worker trends turned positive in the first quarter, the first such improvement after nine consecutive quarters of year-on-year declines, the American Staffing Association said:
2.0 million: Average number of temporary and contract workers employed per day in the first quarter
0.8%: Percentage rise in first-quarter average daily employment from the 2009 quarter
$14.3 billion: First-quarter staffing sales, a 10.2% rise
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-27 09:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
5/27 - 5/28 Midnight
[Bond sales fall to least in decade]

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... _dRoVEme4&pos=6

Companies sold the least amount of bonds in a decade this month as concern that the burgeoning sovereign debt crisis in Europe will slow the global economy drove up relative borrowing costs by the most since the aftermath of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s collapse.

Borrowers issued $61.1 billion of debt in currencies from dollars to yen, a third of April’s tally and the least since December 2000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. At least 13 companies withdrew offerings, including New York-based retailer Jones Apparel Group Inc. and theater chain operator Regal Entertainment Group.

“There’s still a lack of risk appetite for company debt,” said Ben Bennett, who helps manage the equivalent of $125 billion of corporate bonds as credit strategist at Legal & General Investment Management in London. “There needs to be a couple more days of stability before we see green shoots. At the moment it’s a small, straggly weed.”

The extra yield investors demand to own corporate bonds rather than government debt soared the most since at least November 2008, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data. Spreads widened 44 basis points to 193 basis points, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data.

Corporate credit has lost 0.65 percent this month, including reinvested interest, snapping four months of positive returns, index data show.
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