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[原创] 股市诊脉 5-12-2010 by 游击队长

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发表于 2010-5-12 08:50 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 ypm968 于 2010-5-12 23:28 编辑

This post is for traders only, not for beginners. If you don't understand how trend channel works, you should walk away.

This post is for traders only, not for beginners. If you don't understand how trend channel works, you should walk away.  

This post is for traders only, not for beginners. If you don't understand how trend channel works, you should walk away.  

This post is for traders only, not for beginners. If you don't understand how trend channel works, you should walk away.  

This post is for traders only, not for beginners. If you don't understand how trend channel works, you should walk away.  


Market made a follow-through rally today. We saw Euro starts to stabilize,  we saw M&A activity again, and market sentiment starts to improve. Now what? In the short-term chart, we see S&P, Dow, and NYSE formed a flatter blue dished channel. S&P and Dow are near or at channel resistance line, so I will not be surprised if market pulls back tomorrow. Dow and Nasdaq closed above 50-day Moving average today. Russell and $tran closed above 20-day moving average. S&P is the only one point below 50-day moving average, it will play catch. These are good news,  but the real task is ahead. In the intermediate-term chart we see S&P and DOW are approaching to H&S's neckline. The H&S tops took almost a month to build, so I will begin taking some profits.
Short-term trend.png
Intermediate trend.png
Leaders and laggards.png
money flows.png

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发表于 2010-5-12 08:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
队长的沙发,thanks
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发表于 2010-5-12 08:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Sa Fa?
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发表于 2010-5-12 08:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
So fa 2?
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发表于 2010-5-12 08:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
Good analysis! The market may just keep moving up to re-test earlier high?!
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发表于 2010-5-12 08:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks!
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
也就是说,如果没有回调,sp果断突破1180的话,就应该买入并长期持有是吗?
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
ding!
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
队长,
有没有拿到iPAD 炒股啊? 坐在马桶上都可以不插电玩儿一个上午。

我想买一个,得等到 在加国发售哪一天。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-12 09:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 ypm968 于 2010-5-12 22:21 编辑
Good analysis! The market may just keep moving up to re-test earlier high?!
lucky99 发表于 2010-5-12 21:56



I don't know. We have to wait and see, but there are tons of resistances between 1180 and 1220. If you are sitting on profit like I am, you may want to do the same. I don't mean take them all off, I mean starts to take profit while market goes up. I don't believe we will see a new high soon, but who knows?
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-12 09:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
队长,
有没有拿到iPAD 炒股啊? 坐在马桶上都可以不插电玩儿一个上午。

我想买一个,得等到 在加国发售 ...
yaobooyao 发表于 2010-5-12 22:11


iPad不支持flash, Etrade的Ipad软件居然还要收monthly fee. 拿着看看书,看看电影,听听音乐,大大电动,欣赏AV,还是很不错的。
iPad现在卖的还很火, 上周五陪一个朋友去apple store买, 居然没现货, 还要到网上order.
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks captain!
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-12 09:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
也就是说,如果没有回调,sp果断突破1180的话,就应该买入并长期持有是吗?
littlevivi 发表于 2010-5-12 22:06



不是不是, 你要长期持有, 等s&P创了新高, 站稳了以后再买。
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
iPad不支持flash, Etrade的Ipad软件居然还要收monthly fee. 拿着看看书,看看电影,听听音乐,大大电动 ...
ypm968 发表于 2010-5-12 22:20


我原想买一个带着上班,关键时刻抽出来进场搞两下。

新公司连hotmail 都上不了,只能做早盘Pre Market 设钓鱼单子,太闷了。
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-5-12 09:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
我原想买一个带着上班,关键时刻抽出来进场搞两下。

新公司连hotmail 都上不了,只能做早盘Pre Mark ...
yaobooyao 发表于 2010-5-12 22:24



那你用notebook或者买个netbook就好了。
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
队长,你的market trend以后取消吧,说实在的,如果真要是发,没有阁下这样几乎天天改的:一个大跌阁下就换成down,涨上来你就换成sideway,再涨2天你又换成up了。

我绝对没有冒犯的意思,只是觉得你的trend有还不如没有,否则只能算是3天的trend,根本算不上1-2week甚至3-4week啊,是不是呢?

换句话说,就是你的trend,绝对更像是2-3天trend。
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发表于 2010-5-12 09:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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