股市诊脉 6-10-2010 by 游击队长

ypm968

Maybe I was too bearish. I didn't see today's big rally coming. I still don't understand why the market rally so hard today. What news trigger this rally? China export number was yesterday's news. Today's weekly initial claims is worse than market expected. Maybe someone knew something we don't know. Anyway, let's focus on the charts. NYSE and $tran broke their downtrend channel. That is bullish, but we need to see S&P closes above its  channel, and we need to see VIX closes below 30 to pull the trigger. You do not want to rush to buy here because every time we had a big rally like todays, market got sold off hard in the next day or next a few days since May. S&P closed up 2.95%, but the volume is very low, you can see in the daily chart, volume of these big up days are getting lower and lower, that is not a good sign. Tomorrow we need to see S&P breaks its downtrend channel with strong volume, otherwise history will repeat itself.

Following my channel, I bought another 5% TZA calls today. Let's see how it works.

azure4068

哈哈，做队长的沙发，真lucky啊！

coppereye

没抢到

ypm968

:(13):

哈哈，做队长的沙发，真lucky啊！
azure4068 发表于 2010-6-10 20:22

usamonkey

slcgh

THANKS  
队长!

coppereye

有个问题请教队长。今天SPX的量小但SPY的量并不小，至少比昨天明显高。这种情况下应该以哪个为准来评估市场呢？

Whigs

Also, at least since 1994, SP 500 always closed lower for the day after the FIFA World Cup opening matches.  :)

ninemao

Thanks!

wangbin

今天的量好小，而且money flows也不大。

fead

ding!

20108

songjiang

Thanks!

ranchgirl

我是谁

队长 big hero
I only have 5% SDS   but bad entry price.  not very  happy

ranchgirl

ypm968

有个问题请教队长。今天SPX的量小但SPY的量并不小，至少比昨天明显高。这种情况下应该以哪个为准来 ...
coppereye 发表于 2010-6-10 20:31

我很少看SPY， 我主要看index volume, 一般SPY etf的交易量只是S&P index交易量的十分之一。 不光S&P， Naz, Dow, NYSE and $tran交易量都不大。 还是以index为准。

nanosensor

Thanks

X中国陆军

sooners

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