07/30/2010 大盘回顾 （The Rebound Could be Over or Very Close）

maldini

Diver

Thank you very much.

I sent you a PM just now.

Hmm, interesting, does look like a H&S Top.
Cobra 发表于 2010-8-1 18:56

Cobra

回复  jilier


    我根据 10年来，在8次反弹中，最短的一次是 21个交易日，其余都在 29个交易日或以上 ...
QSCNC 发表于 2010-8-1 18:49

谢谢，你这个信息很重要，提醒我忽略的因素了。不过，我简单的看了一下2008年熊市，反弹持续多少交易日，可能跟你的定义有关，你看下图，如果以higher high or higher close算，那么有很多反弹，见红圈圈，根本就不足20天。你不能用NYSI算，那东西是NYMO的累加，因此肯定是滞后好几天的，因为一定要到NYMO在零线下后，NYSI才可能掉头，而大盘可能已经跌了几天了。

Cobra

回复  Cobra
Cobra: you seems helpless for this round of swing, I feel dizzy by reading your report ...
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-8-1 19:13

Have you noticed my trade recently? I now publicly announced my position every day in the table. You see me lose one recently?

Please, maybe I don't understand your tone in English correctly, but please don't speak to me like that. If you don't like my report, I'm sure there're plenty of other paid reports, you can go for them.

As for every dip was bought. Maybe I read wrong, but wasn't SPY had 2 bearish reversal days in 3 days? The only dip was bought was on Friday but failed to close deep green unlike before, so I'm not actually sure if this means anything.

Also please read carefully, I said, I'm not sure if there's going to be new recovery high.

Cobra

回复  Cobra
Cobra: you seems helpless for this round of swing, I feel dizzy by reading your report ...
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-8-1 19:13

    Besides, is this you called positive divergence? Yes, I see a little, but on a little bigger picture, don't you see bigger negative divergence there? I don't mean it will be up or down. I just mean please be careful about your tone. I had enough! 现在你每天看到的，是我尽量坚持的结果，这种无穷无尽的辛苦生活我已经坚持不下去了，你还真当我是雷锋啊，可以永远这样下去？！现在的情形只不过是坚持一天是一天，直到哪天我实在坚持不下去了为止。所以Again，be careful about your tone.

michaelzhang

Ave

dommy

其次，the rebound since 07/01比较弱，不象是大牛市。下面的图应该说明问题了。

蛇大,有关上面这句话,有点疑问请教一下.
如果看去年三月份低点的前后四周,可以看到后四周涨的没有前四周跌的多.但是后来的五周涨的比之前的五周跌的多,结果整体九周比九周牛的力量看起来大.
那么类比现在的情况,是不是不能排除现在图上与跌势做比较的是可能还没有走完的涨势呢?

Cobra

蛇大,有关上面这句话,有点疑问请教一下.
如果看去年三月份低点的前后四周,可以看到后四周涨的没有前四 ...
dommy 发表于 2010-8-1 22:35

    这个我也想过，首先去年三月份的那两个四周差别不大，其次，最重要的是连涨了4周，我们这次，甚至连连长2周都没有，相比之下要弱很多啊。

dommy

刚发完帖就收到了回答.蛇大神速!谢谢!

这个我也想过，首先去年三月份的那两个四周差别不大，其次，最重要的是连涨了4周，我们这次，甚至 ...
Cobra 发表于 2010-8-1 22:38

shoujie

蛇大别急。。。人本来就是这样，一旦别人的想法和意见跟自己的不同的时候，人的本能就会使他/她言辞激烈，非要想着法儿压过对方，这个是人的本性。所以这样的事发生对蛇大本身是个极大的耐心的考验。俺相信蛇大背后有个非常的原因才能够提供免费的 SERVICES 直到如今。有时候俺在想，蛇大应该是个基督徒才能够如此忍气吞声的吧，不然的话，蛇大图个什么呢？

而作为使用者的我们应该是受益者，理当尊重博客/版主主人的辛劳。就算博客/版主主人的意见和自己的不同，征询意见时也应该语带尊敬，毕竟我们是来到人家的地方并且得到免费的服务是吧。。。倘若你实在不能接受，离开就行了。。。

nirvanawang

like2swing

thanks a lot. I bought dip using your swing trade signal, but I sold it too early, instead of using stops as you instructed. Your ST signal is very helpful. But my operation needs improvement. Anyway, I'm happy with the winning trades, even I didn't get max profit.

Cobra

thanks a lot. I bought dip using your swing trade signal, but I sold it too early, instead of using  ...
like2swing 发表于 2010-8-1 22:49

    Thanks. Next time, remember to sold only half. That's how the model is suppose to be followed.

everest001

Thanks!

Cobra

蛇大别急。。。人本来就是这样，一旦别人的想法和意见跟自己的不同的时候，人的本能就会使他/她言辞激烈，非 ...
shoujie 发表于 2010-8-1 22:45

收到。反正，I had enough是实话了。下一步怎么走，迟早是要有个决定的。所以，我现在能说的，就是趁有的时候好好珍惜。

Ed02

Thanks for the efforts!

dcd

回复 105# Cobra

Cobra老大是太辛苦了， 来点好吃的朴养朴养
   

Cobra

回复  Cobra

Cobra老大是太辛苦了， 来点好吃的朴养朴养
dcd 发表于 2010-8-1 23:24

    ，只能看，不能吃啊。

Rosemary1

回复 1# Cobra


    Thanks.