09/08/2010 大盘回顾 （Back to Back Unfilled Gaps on Both Side）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 2 of 2 are SELL   Intermediate 2 of 3 are BUY 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode. Short-term Model is BUY 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL The trend is up and I hold partial long overnight. GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE CONCLUSION 9/10 09/08 / 09/08 9/5, 9/6 Next pivot date: 09/07 – 09/10

BULLISH BEARISH 6.2.2a VIX Trading Signals (BB): VIX BB short setup triggered. 0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: CPCI too high, topped? 0.2.5 NYSE Total Volume: Volume too low, topped?

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU Non-Stop 09/07 L N/A ST Model 09/07 S *Cover short tomorrow.

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.

SHORT-TERM: NO IDEA, COULD SEE MORE PUSH UP?

 

今天没看到什么可以大惊小怪的东西，所以只能看明天了。由于table above里的几个potential top信号，加上现在在09/07 to 09/10的time window里，因此要注意短期pullback的风险。当然，由于After Bell Quick Summary里提到SPY可能正在形成一个Bull Flag，所以不能排除还有more push up的可能。下面是另一个理由，就是RSI并没有形成negative divergence，这也是说有可能one more push up  at least。

 

 

这个昨天说了，可能会形成有趣的上下都有back to back unfilled gap的情况。这上下的back to back unfilled gap都会补，问题是先补上面还是先补下面？Again no idea，看明天吧。

 

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: EXPECT 3 LEG UP, MINI SPX 100 POINT FROM 08/27 CLOSE

See 09/03 Market Recap for more details.

 

SEASONALITY: SEPTEMBER IS BEARISH

See 09/03 Market Recap for more details.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	DTFMS	COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ	UP
IWM	LA
CHINA	UP		Head and Shoulders Bottom in the forming?
EMERGING	*UP		4.1.6 iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM Weekly): EEM to SPX ratio too high.
EUROPEAN	*LA
CANADA	*DOWN
BOND	*LA		4.2.0 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund iShares (TLT Weekly): Too far away from MA(200).
EURO	DOWN
GOLD	*LA	*SELL
GDX	*DOWN		4.3.1 Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX Weekly): GDX to SPX ratio too high, pullback? *3.2.0 streetTRACKS Gold Trust Shares (GLD Daily): Double black bar, pullback?
OIL	LA		4.4.0 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO Weekly): USO to SPX ratio too low, rebound?
ENERGY	LA
FINANCIALS	LA		4.4.2 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Weekly): Head and Shoulders Top in the forming?
REITS	LA		4.4.3 Real Estate iShares (IYR Weekly): Home builder is lagging and IYR to SPX ratio too high.
MATERIALS	UP

*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals. Use it as a filter, don’t trade directly.
*LA = Lateral Trend.

rosyrosy

sofa

nctree

:lol

maomi

bench

whoami

floor

90ufo

1st page
Thanks!

小财虫

好

IMeMyself

first page, thanks

tonyshen

schmd2000

skipjack

Thanks

sunburningmyass

3q

steeler

回复 1# Cobra


    谢谢

win

蛇班长，我想问个问题，ST MODEL和NON－STOP MODEL有什么不同？为什么ST MODEL是SELL，而NON－STOP MODEL是BUY？它们的时间段分别是多久？谢谢

silencelake2007

thks cobra

win

对不起，你上面TABLE里，右上边写NON－STOP和ST都是BUY，可是TABLE的左下面SON－STOP是BUY，ST是SELL，怎么回事？

Rosemary1

Thanks.

Now it is getting close to 9/11, are we going to get  patriotic buying to cause market go up?

妞妞

hutong123

thanks:(13):

daveyhorl99