哭爹了，叫娘了，老秋掖不喊了，那，俺来一句？

小草

基本上哪个论坛都能找到几个有点头脑的，胡同真是奇怪。

 

 

Day 20: DJI closed @ 12891, +1000 target reached by 67.5%

Day 15: DJI closed @ 12849, +1000 target reached by 63.3%
Day 10: DJI closed @ 12325, +1000 target reached by 10,9%
Day 5: DJI closed @ 12609, +1000 target reached by 39,3%
Day 0: DJI closed @ 12216, +1000 target reached by 0%

 

 

 

 

 

原帖由 匆匆过客 于 2008-4-18 20:32 发表 俺替小小草更新一把。 Day 15: DJI closed @ 12849, +1000 target reached by 63.3%Day 10: DJI closed @ 12325, +1000 target reached by 10,9%Day 5: DJI closed @ ...

xssl

小小草已经涨成小草了？。。。。。哈哈哈。。。。。

小小草

何方妖草,替俺更新一下就得了,竟敢笑我胡同无人,滚!

原帖由 小草 于 2008-4-25 17:47 发表 基本上哪个论坛都能找到几个有点头脑的，胡同真是奇怪。     Day 20: DJI closed @ 12891, +1000 target reached by 67.5% Day 15: DJI closed @ 12849, +1000 target reached by 63.3%Day 10: DJI cl ...

shyuan

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-25 20:00 发表 何方妖草,替俺更新一下就得了,竟敢笑我胡同无人,滚!

 

晕～ 小小草mm已经把俺们给弄糊涂了，谁是真ID，谁是马甲？

小小草

虽然俺还坚持1000点的目标, 但继昨天2440出掉QLD 后,俺今天又出掉了UYG和GE, 100% CASH 了.

本来俺的目标是1430，但今年春天俺手太顺了，无往而不利，3个DOW的400点大阳帮，俺不仅100%参与，还短线几次倒手。俺的经验告诉俺，快到俺犯大错的时候了。就像股票有涨有跌，TRADER也会有反复，在太顺，太不顺的时候，俺倾向于停下来冷静一下。

周五DOW能REVERSE100+ 的LOSS，还是Very Bullish。但俺不喜华看到媒体上到处都在说，The Worst Is Over. 你可以清楚地看到，媒体都是SUCKER了吧，在COMP 涨了300点后，Worst Is Over, 终于Confirm 了。另外UYG在这末强的行情中，连$34都破不了，让我UNEASY。还有这个COMMODITY，貌似有大调整的样子，有可能DRAG大盘。还有这个Energy股票和其他股票之间巨大的SPREAD，怎样Resolve？都是大问号。所以一咬牙，不再恋战了。

2440附近回有反复，如果能回调到2370s确认一下那个跳空支持或干脆把它FILL了，俺会LONG的更舒服一些。

看看版上这些熊派的贴子，估计市场还会再SQUEEZE她们一阵儿。那个OIL把大家搞得够苦吧？今年俺仅有的3个losing trades，全是近两周在oil上:
buy DUG $35.3, add at $34, sell at $34.90
buy DUG $32.2, sell at $31.2
short USO $94.8, cover at $96 (today)

好在俺以前吃过烧strong股票的亏，试一下水马上就止住了。

原帖由 shyuan 于 2008-4-25 20:02 发表 晕～ 小小草mm已经把俺们给弄糊涂
了，谁是真ID，谁是马甲？

shyuan

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-25 20:41 发表 虽然俺还坚持1000点的目标, 但继昨天2440出掉QLD 后,俺今天又出掉了UYG和GE, 100% CASH 了.本来俺的目标是1430，但今年春天俺手太顺了，无往而不利，3个DOW的400点大阳帮，俺不仅100%参与，还短线几次倒手。俺的经验 ...

 

牛，小小草mm这经验真不是盖的，10年磨一剑，不佩服不行，更何况有理有节，要大大的顶

xssl

CoolMax

原帖由 xssl 于 2008-4-25 16:45 发表

 

同顶。呵呵。

不论牛熊，赚钱是硬道理。哈哈哈哈。

 

下面，该是熊熊的Turn了吧。

 

 

 

 

小小草

要回到熊熊的日子还早了点. 俺清仓更多是基于自己的实际情况. 现在是多头利用ER继续对空头施加压力的时候,短期应该是继续上走的行情. 还会有人人为worst is over而加入近来.

Watch OIH, the signal is OIH and USO diverge, meaning USO goes up and OIH goes down.

原帖由 CoolMax 于 2008-4-25 21:32 发表 同顶。呵呵。 不论牛熊，赚钱是硬道理。哈哈哈哈。 下面，该是熊熊的Turn了吧。

KAI2002

不能不赞，佩服。

xiaobailong

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-25 20:41 发表 虽然俺还坚持1000点的目标, 但继昨天2440出掉QLD 后,俺今天又出掉了UYG和GE, 100% CASH 了.本来俺的目标是1430，但今年春天俺手太顺了，无往而不利，3个DOW的400点大阳帮，俺不仅100%参与，还短线几次倒手。俺的经验 ...

小小草以后来这个帖子里持续更新你的操作吧，这样即使5月16日没有达到13216，也能拿钻石。如何？

shi33

nice job...

kan

小小草的目标这周就会实现

小小草

I  see the target DOW 13200s intact by May 16th.

IF I want to make a bet before FED meeting now, I'd bet on the long side ( I am still 100% cash). I see DOW intraday visit 13000s if FED cut 25pts.

One thing I am sure  is if DOW drops to 12600s (COMP 2370,SPX 1360s) tomorrow after FED decision,  I'll re-enter QLD with 50% allocation and enter the other 50% if indices don't lose those areas.

I intend to straitly interprate what I see rather than guessing "fakeout", I see NDX is extremely strong,  TRAN is setting a new local high, healthy sector rotation, commodidies and commodity stocks beaten down and retailer/sox/tech stock rose, dollar bottoming out with strong rally reflecting recovery of investor confidence, and  the  market advanced  on  historical  low consumer confidence and  bad  housing data.  I see nowhere you should short except that you are shorting the commodities. I think Gold has a good chance of visiting $800s level.

I see market rose on low volume these days, in the meantime, I see frequently people in the media say the worst is over, this indicates there are just too much money sitting on the sidelines, either unbelieving the worst is over or  waiting for a pull back to get in.  I see the main Hutong bears are still spiritually high, confident about shorting now,  and  bulls  either  cleared out  long positions or  started  buying puts,  these are sentimentally bullish for stock. I don't think the rally will end without some shorts on Hutong, MIT or DQ being pissed out.

For me,  probably I'll try to trade against  sharp movement on either side, i.e, short if DOW stages a big rally or buy if it tumbles, I personally like the setup of buy on DOW 12600s especially with VIX rises sharply to 23s hitting the broken trendline.

BTW, I cleared out all positions and decided to have a rest mainly I felt I had an impulsion to start shorting, it is just premature to short a SPX with a inverted head-n-shoulder without its technical target being hit.

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-26 13:55 发表 要回到熊熊的日子还早了点. 俺清仓更多是基于自己的实际情况. 现在是多头利用ER继续对空头施加压力的时候,短期应该是继续上走的行情. 还会有人人为worst is over而加入近来.Watch OIH, the signal is OIH and USO di ...

Cobra

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-29 21:49 发表 I  see the target DOW 13200s intact by May 16th.IF I want to make a bet before FED meeting now, I'd bet on the long side ( I am still 100% cash). I see DOW intraday visit 13000s if FED cut 25pts. ...

 

另整一帖写，给你颜色，红钻，上榜，不过你得连续更新几天才有钻石。

leon666

 

xssl

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-29 21:49 发表 I  see the target DOW 13200s intact by May 16th.IF I want to make a bet before FED meeting now, I'd bet on the long side ( I am still 100% cash). I see DOW intraday visit 13000s if FED cut 25pts. ...

顶小小草！！！！ 听说你是MM?

kan

很多信号显示明天可能是向上的拐点，大家要跟着FED这双无形的手（这段时间是有形）走， 要讲政治。

coolboy

原帖由 xssl 于 2008-4-29 22:18 发表 顶小小草！！！！ 听说你是MM?

真的是MM吗？
那要顶！！！

小小草

DOW intraday hit 13010 before giving back all the gainings.

空方要担心commodity stock突然snap back,今天oih +$2 and USO -$0.50, 今年几个大阳棒之前都有这种现象.不可不谨慎.要是周四,周五的数据不错, +1000点就提前两周实现了.

继续母鸡, 100% cash, The plan is to buy at DOW 12600s or short at 13200s, whichever comes first.

原帖由 小小草 于 2008-4-29 21:49 发表 I  see the target DOW 13200s intact by May 16th.IF I want to make a bet before FED meeting now, I'd bet on the long side ( I am still 100% cash). I see DOW intraday visit 13000s if FED cut 25pts. ...