|
|
SPY SETUP |
ENTRY DATE |
STOP LOSS |
INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU |
Non-Stop |
09/07 L |
N/A |
Partial profits on 09/24. |
ST Model |
09/24 L |
1.9*ATR(10) |
| |
SHORT-TERM: WATCH SPX 1148 and 1122
今天没什么好说的,短期方向不明,要看SPX 1148 and 1122谁先破:
- Decisively close above 1148,那么继续牛。当然牛到什么程度,需要点想象力,see intermediate-term session below。
- Decisively close below 1122则可能是Double Top or 1-2-3 Trend Change pattern,是典型的short setup。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH, BUT NEED SOME IMAGINATION TO FORESEE HOW BULLISH
Intermediate-term是uptrend,这一点无可争议,see 09/17 Market Recap and 09/24 Market Recap for back test results。不过,how bullish,老实说,需要一点想象力,我这里没有答案,大家自由发挥,呵呵。一方面下面的关于POMO的统计几乎guarantee三个月内大涨特涨,另一方面占Nasdaq 100 20%以上的AAPL已经too stretched了,过去这么stretch,结果都不好,难道这次会例外?
先看一下关于POMO的统计:
According to Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) from Trading the Odds, since we’ve had more than 9 POMO within the last 20 trading days so the market should be up huge (more than 10%) in the next 3 months. The chart below is copied from Trading the Odds for completeness purpose.
再看看过去几次AAPL这么stretch以后都发生了什么?
SEASONALITY: LAST TRADING WEEK OF MONTH WAS GENERALLY BEARISH
See 09/24 Market Recap for more details.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST
- Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
- Conclusions can be confirmed endlessly, but trading wise, you have to take actions at certain risk level as soon as you feel the confirmation is enough. There’s no way for me to adapt to different risk levels therefore no specific buy/sell signals will be given in this report except the mechanical signals such as SPY ST Model.
- * = New update.
- Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- LA = Lateral Trend.
|