周四或周五会有一个大跌，是因为

chicagoshwind · 发表于 2010-10-13 09:04 PM

10/15 是 Hedge Fund 每年的截至期，他们在八，九月赚的流油，这二天会锁利的。

noname6688 · 发表于 2010-10-13 09:15 PM

10/15 是 Hedge Fund 每年的截至期，他们在八，九月赚的流油，这二天会锁利的。
chicagoshwind 发表于 2010-10-13 23:04

if everyone knows this, then they will take profit earlier

actionverte · 发表于 2010-10-13 09:38 PM

Thanks

sooners · 发表于 2010-10-13 09:44 PM

回复 1# chicagoshwind

laolaoyao · 发表于 2010-10-13 09:44 PM

they sold today?

jcw · 发表于 2010-10-13 09:44 PM

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:13 PM

Thanks!

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:17 PM

10/15 是 Hedge Fund 每年的截至期，他们在八，九月赚的流油，这二天会锁利的。
chicagoshwind 发表于 2010-10-13 23:04

However, it did not happen last year, it was up everyday.

10/16/2009 10061.36 10072.62 9884.51 9995.91 4894740000 9995.91
10/15/2009 10014.88 10087.43 9916.93 10062.94 5369780000 10062.94
10/14/2009 9873.55 10064.98 9873.55 10015.86 5406420000 10015.86
10/13/2009 9883.98 9935.53 9780.9 9871.06 4320480000 9871.06
10/12/2009 9865.24 9978.07 9814.45 9885.8 3710430000 9885.8

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:19 PM

This is 2008, what do you think, did it happen? It seems it happened after 15th

10/17/2008 8975.35 9304.38 8640.83 8852.22 6581780000 8852.22
10/16/2008 8577.04 9073.64 8176.17 8979.26 7984500000 8979.26
10/15/2008 9301.91 9301.91 8516.5 8577.91 6542330000 8577.91
10/14/2008 9388.97 9924.28 9050.06 9310.99 8161990400 9310.99
10/13/2008 8462.42 9501.91 8462.42 9387.61 7263369600 9387.61
10/10/2008 8568.67 8989.13 7773.71 8451.19 11456230400 8451.19

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:21 PM

It seems we need to worry next week.

10/17/2007 13920.66 14075.84 13738.66 13892.54 3638070000 13892.54
10/16/2007 13986.34 14061.37 13810.68 13912.94 3234560000 13912.94
10/15/2007 14092.43 14157.38 13877.82 13984.8 3139290000 13984.8
10/12/2007 14016.34 14168.51 13949.85 14093.08 2788690000 14093.08
10/11/2007 14079.1 14279.96 13917.82 14015.12 3911260000 14015.12
10/10/2007 14165.02 14225.66 13963.26 14078.69 3044760000 14078.69

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:22 PM

2006 seems the same as last year, kept going up:

10/17/2006 11977.4 12024.54 11849.16 11950.02 2519620000 11950.02
10/16/2006 11957.7 11996.92 11945.7 11980.59 2305920000 11980.59
10/13/2006 11947.22 12009.97 11862.29 11960.51 2482920000 11960.51
10/12/2006 11896.63 11959.14 11852.12 11947.7 2514350000 11947.7
10/11/2006 11865.49 11907.6 11762.72 11852.13 2521000000 11852.13
10/10/2006 11857.73 11930.33 11778.09 11867.17 2376140000 11867.17

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:24 PM

From 2005, I cannot see LZ's rule either

10/18/2005 10349.14 10412.85 10233.47 10285.26 2197010000 10285.26
10/17/2005 10287.42 10419.58 10213.06 10348.1 2054570000 10348.1
10/14/2005 10216.59 10327.21 10165.12 10287.34 2188940000 10287.34
10/13/2005 10216.91 10309.2 10098.18 10216.59 2351150000 10216.59
10/12/2005 10247.4 10308.23 10186.17 10216.9 2491280000 10216.9
10/11/2005 10239.16 10361.15 10195.13 10253.17 2299040000 10253.17
10/10/2005 10292.95 10378.19 10184.09 10238.76 2195990000 10238.76

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:26 PM

This is the only one seems fit LZ's "prediction":

10/20/2004 9895.19 9957.05 9766.95 9886.93 1685700000 9886.93
10/19/2004 9958.38 10064.2 9854.19 9897.62 1737500000 9897.62
10/18/2004 9932.98 10002.18 9816.73 9956.32 1373300000 9956.32
10/15/2004 9895.63 10022.31 9845.56 9933.38 1645100000 9933.38
10/14/2004 10002.54 10048.48 9837.22 9894.45 1489500000 9894.45
10/13/2004 10085.21 10157.11 9935.08 10002.33 1546200000 10002.33
10/12/2004 10080.42 10121.49 9985.44 10077.18 1320100000 10077.18
10/11/2004 10056.09 10142.74 10017.67 10081.97 943800000 10081.97

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:27 PM

in 2003, Not fit LZ's profile either

10/20/2003 9721.5 9816.97 9665.35 9777.94 1172600000 9777.94
10/17/2003 9791.86 9833.12 9679.72 9721.79 1352000000 9721.79
10/16/2003 9798.68 9838.53 9679.13 9791.72 1417700000 9791.72
10/15/2003 9824.09 9901.64 9731.57 9803.05 1521100000 9803.05
10/14/2003 9763.27 9833.42 9696.9 9812.98 1271900000 9812.98
10/13/2003 9675.72 9814.97 9675.72 9764.38 1040500000 9764.38
10/10/2003 9682.9 9743.12 9622.31 9674.68 1108100000 9674.68

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:29 PM

2002, nothing fit LZ's picture:

10/21/2002 8320.74 8580.13 8191.87 8538.24 1447000000 8538.24
10/18/2002 8287.72 8383.16 8115.72 8322.4 1423100000 8322.4
10/17/2002 8038.31 8395.99 8038.31 8275.04 1780390000 8275.04
10/16/2002 8232.1 8232.1 7958.34 8036.03 1585000000 8036.03
10/15/2002 7883.23 8304.58 7883.23 8255.68 1956000000 8255.68
10/14/2002 7848.21 7948.91 7725.23 7877.4 1200300000 7877.4
10/11/2002 7540.74 7919.57 7540.74 7850.29 1854130000 7850.29
10/10/2002 7286.34 7588.25 7181.47 7533.95 2090230000 7533.95

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:30 PM

2001, nothing 大跌

10/19/2001 9162.81 9278.36 9027.74 9204.11 1294900000 9204.11
10/18/2001 9230.75 9310.33 9061.02 9163.22 1262900000 9163.22
10/17/2001 9389.76 9539.22 9199.89 9232.97 1452200000 9232.97
10/16/2001 9346.31 9479.37 9239.68 9384.23 1210500000 9384.23
10/15/2001 9340.84 9417.51 9181.07 9347.62 1024700000 9347.62
10/12/2001 9409.07 9426.3 9146.34 9344.16 1331400000 9344.16
10/11/2001 9242.63 9522.61 9204.04 9410.45 1704580000 9410.45
10/10/2001 9052.3 9305.97 8975.15 9240.86 1312400000 9240.86

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:32 PM

2000, nothing fit either

10/20/2000 10141.13 10406.76 9925.82 10226.59 1177400000 10226.59
10/19/2000 10014.61 10317.23 9901.77 10142.98 1297900000 10142.98
10/18/2000 10085.99 10171.47 9571.4 9975.02 1441700000 9975.02
10/17/2000 10242.87 10402.32 9924.34 10089.71 1161500000 10089.71
10/16/2000 10184.78 10428.95 10033.84 10238.8 1005400000 10238.8
10/13/2000 10031.62 10325.37 9883.27 10192.18 1223900000 10192.18
10/12/2000 10424.14 10462.25 9873.66 10034.58 1388600000 10034.58
10/11/2000 10521.07 10647.23 10228.44 10413.79 1387500000 10413.79
10/10/2000 10569.17 10744.52 10377.16 10524.4 1044000000 10524.4

ranchgirl · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:33 PM

In ten years, only one year fit, probably, it is not a rule.

Thanks!

dsp · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:33 PM

thanks.

ppteam · 发表于 2010-10-13 10:34 PM

回复 18# ranchgirl

good stats!

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[放炮] 周四或周五会有一个大跌，是因为

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