周末大辩论：苹果下周ER后会成为金苹果还是烂苹果？

Diver

回复  lehldk

Indeed, now, I won't long AMZN due to tax uncertainty, I won't long AAPL due to Job ...
colderdown 发表于 2010-10-15 21:26

Diver

AAPL drops after good ER and kills Call options finally.

sfbayarea 发表于 2010-10-16 13:46

Diver

AAPL makes the final push up to SPX and it is close to the top.

痛心啊，nobody bother to take a look at the chart for what happened thereafter when AAPL reported ER ...
Cobra 发表于 2010-10-16 11:25

hutongchuanzi

老蛇啊,不是不看图,问题是现在政策市,人有多大胆,地有多大产.很多TA不工作了.

Diver

我非牛非熊，love apple 产品，用imac 27, iPad, iPod, 由于工作关系，由at&t 转到verizon 之后就没有用iph ...
sfbayarea 发表于 2010-10-16 14:44

hutongchuanzi

按照TA,DOW有可能跌到4000点,有可能吗?有可能吗?有可能吗?....

Diver

苹果好不好，看看INTC的ER就知道。 INTC ER中说， ATOM 销售额下降4%。IPAD的销量可想而知。

俺 ...
catbear 发表于 2010-10-15 22:26

Diver

瞎猜：AAPL blow-off earning, push nasdaq to 2500, spx to 1195 on next Tuesday
MtlJaysFan 发表于 2010-10-15 22:25

Diver

I agree with Telsa. To be cool and to be in style  is a big deal for a lot of people. For exam ...
bokchoy888 发表于 2010-10-15 23:28

hutongchuanzi

大千的捣乱还说周线,月线上的空必补呐.啥时候补呐?几年?几十年?....

Cobra

老蛇啊,不是不看图,问题是现在政策市,人有多大胆,地有多大产.很多TA不工作了.
hutongchuanzi 发表于 2010-10-16 16:32

股市啥时候不是政策市？历史是人创造的，不要忘了。所以TA过去工作，现在工作，将来也工作。

Tesla

股市啥时候不是政策市？历史是人创造的，不要忘了。所以TA过去工作，现在工作，将来也工作。
Cobra 发表于 2010-10-16 16:47

顶！

Tesla

大千的捣乱还说周线,月线上的空必补呐.啥时候补呐?几年?几十年?....
hutongchuanzi 发表于 2010-10-16 16:40

记得有位朋友评论过DL，说是英雄迟暮了。挺准确的。

Tesla

按照TA,DOW有可能跌到4000点,有可能吗?有可能吗?有可能吗?....
hutongchuanzi 发表于 2010-10-16 16:35

你这么说，又要被老蛇批评了。

TA是基于概率的问题。不要老想着小概率事件。

小概率事件会发生，像陨石撞地球恐龙灭绝的事件。So what， 全世界的人都死了，你做对了方向有啥用。

ppteam

老蛇啊,不是不看图,问题是现在政策市,人有多大胆,地有多大产.很多TA不工作了.
hutongchuanzi 发表于 2010-10-16 04:32 PM

说TA不WORK是不懂TA的。没错，说的就是你。

oldpigwang

回复 56# sfbayarea
在这样大幅上下可能的关头，卖靠太太危险。

oldpigwang

回复 49# Cobra
立场：牛。
I do not care how aapl do after initial earning pop up. My Goog call was closed at the 1st second
after next day mkt openning by mkt order with the best price of that day, then GOOG fall to 592, up to 600 again.
How it will do later, should not be in my earning play no more.
I am holding a bite aapl calls now, plan to buy more on Monday, expect an earning pop up.
But if AApl up too much on Monday, I will take some profit before earning announcement, only use half of my aapl call to play earning.
In that case, even if aapl sell off after earning, it is  still golden aapl, since it pop up anyway, no matter couple hour before earning or after earning.
I believe aapl still has up side potential in 2011-2012. That is long term play.

bokchoy888

my plan for aapl is to wait after apple er, if it pops up big, hope it goes to 330, then I buy some Nov $300 puts, very some portion.

sfbayarea

回复  sfbayarea
在这样大幅上下可能的关头，卖靠太太危险。
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-10-16 18:26

前题是如果你是牛牛，那么place 以下的间单组合。留下记录，看看10月21曰收市价（bid price)来断定risk/reward.
1）本月330 call $9.15
2) buy 本月330 call $9.15, sell 本周330 call $5.60. Total cost $3.55
3) buy 本月330 call $9.15, sell 2 本周340 call $3.55x2=$7.10. Total cost $2.05

如果星期四收市，aapl 是330，那么本月330call would be around $12.

garfieldking

which call is more juice?  330 or 350?