08/22/2011 Market Outlook (Descending Triangle?)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:07 PM

SHORT-TERM: MORE LIKELY TO CONTINUE LOWER

SPY intraday chart看着像是Descending Triangle，因此很可能明天会继续下跌。我不是很确定，因为VIX看着是要反转的样子，所以看明天吧。A little bigger picture，没有任何改变，我还是认为08/09的lows最终是会破的，至少NYMO形成positive divergence以后，才可能真正bottom。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX DOWNSIDE TARGET IS 1,000, THE CORRECTION COULD LAST 1 TO 2 MONTHS

See 08/19 Market Outlook for more details.

SEASONALITY: NO UPDATE

Please see 07/29 Market Outlook for day to day August seasonality chart.

ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:

08/18 Market Outlook: Relief rally could be within 3 trading days.

ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:

N/A

SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	3 of 3 SELL
Intermediate	5 of 5 SELL	3 of 5 NEUTRAL	Cobra Impulse in BUY mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode.
Short-term	DOWN	6 of 6 NEUTRAL

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	DOWN
IWM & Weekly	DOWN
SSEC & Weekly	DOWN	4.1.4 Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (Weekly): Long term support broken.
EEM & Weekly	DOWN
XIU & Weekly	DOWN
DAX & Weekly	DOWN
TLT & Weekly	UP
UUP & Weekly	DOWN
GLD & Weekly	UP
USO & Weekly	DOWN
XLE & Weekly	DOWN	4.4.1 Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE Weekly): BPENER oversold.
XLF & Weekly	DOWN	4.4.2 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Weekly): Long term support broken.
IYR & Weekly	DOWN
XLB & Weekly	DOWN	*4.4.4 Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB Weekly): BPMATE oversold.

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

donkeygirl · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:09 PM

谢谢老大了

acoust · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:11 PM

weigoodone01 · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:11 PM

本帖最后由 weigoodone01 于 2011-8-22 20:12 编辑

jcs · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:12 PM

IMeMyself · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:13 PM

美眉妹 · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:13 PM

jymlo88 · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:14 PM

thanks

slowstep · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:14 PM

stocksea · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:14 PM

oda · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:15 PM

thomast · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:15 PM

源济 · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:16 PM

Bencat · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:18 PM

try_again · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:18 PM

Thanks

Fan8an · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:20 PM

Thanks

dima · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:29 PM

EagleMM · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:30 PM

triestino · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:30 PM

suancai · 发表于 2011-8-22 07:32 PM

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[技术分析] 08/22/2011 Market Outlook (Descending Triangle?)

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