很担心， the downgrade from S&P could cause financial setor open low on Monday.....then we could miss some good points to short, then the downtrend for this sector may come earlier...
i think skf is till pretty low at current level - 106.
原帖由 whiteoak 于 2008-3-21 19:37 发表
很担心， the downgrade from S&P could cause financial setor open low on Monday.....then we could miss some good points to short, then the downtrend for this sector may come earlier...瞎想瞎猜一下哈。 ...
原帖由 whiteoak 于 2008-3-21 19:37 发表
很担心， the downgrate from S&P could cause financial setor open low.....then we could miss some good points to short, then the downtrend for this sector may come earlier...瞎想瞎猜一下哈。。。 ...
xiabailong: take a look at this:
ZT from http://www.investopedia.com/univ ... g/shortselling1.asp
when you short sell a stock, your broker will lend it to you. The stock will come from the brokerage's own inventory, from another one of the firm's customers, or from another brokerage firm. The shares are sold and the proceeds are credited to your account. Sooner or later you must "close" the short by buying back the same number of shares (called covering) and returning them to your broker. If the price drops, you can buy back the stock at the lower price and make a profit on the difference. If the price of the stock rises, you have to buy it back at the higher price, and you lose money.
Most of the time, you can hold a short for as long as you want. However, you can be forced to cover if the lender wants back the stock you borrowed. Brokerages can't sell what they don't have, and so yours will either have to come up with new shares to borrow, or you'll have to cover. This is known as being called away. It doesn't happen often, but is possible if many investors are selling a particular security short.
Since you don't own the stock (you borrowed and then sold it), you must pay the lender of the stock any dividends or rights declared during the course of the loan. If the stock splits during the course of your short, you'll owe twice the number of shares at half the price.
Also, because you are being loaned the stock, you are buying on margin. In fact, you have to open a margin account to short stocks.
原帖由 whiteoak 于 2008-3-21 16:01 发表
xiabailong: take a look at this:
ZT from http://www.investopedia.com/university/shortselling/shortselling1.asp
when you short sell a stock, your broker will lend it to you. The stock wi ...
原帖由 whiteoak 于 2008-3-21 20:01 发表 because you are being loaned the stock, you are buying on margin. In fact, you have to open a margin account to short stocks.
我有margin account.
现在的问题是，我账号里现金只有几百块了. 这种情况下, long SKF,和 short XLF 在股市涨跌方面效果是一样的, 可是在账号资金管理方面, 有没有区别呢?
I have DT SKF for about a month. It was such a easy money to pocket, but things have changed since last Tuesday when LEH, and GS have a good ER. Most of people bet the negative side of them, but Since I knew GS pertty well. I bot before ER come out. Financial sector has been bounced back for two days. Now it is very risk point to short or buy SKF. I tested water on Wednesday and profit is so slim. Two point when you play DT for this SKF, take profit quick and also have to be 100% right on market is down and price moves very fast. I have feeling financial sector still have some room to go up for few days, maybe on Monday GS,LeH or MS may drop, but I bet price will be up again. If prices drop is because those stock prices have been up too much. I will but some if price is drop just for DT. I will strong to wait to see how those stock price goes before buy any SKF. Not a easy one (SKF) to play for those two day. Becareful. Just my two cents.
原帖由 shi33 于 2008-3-21 20:21 发表
I have DT SKF for about a month. It was such a easy money to pocket, but things have changed since last Tuesday when LEH, and GS have a good ER. Most of people bet the negative side of them ...
好像大家对金融股的强烈反弹意见很一致，可以SHORT了，还得见新低。After financial stocks's nice run up,
this observation is really cool and interesting..... My hunch target
for financial this round is UYG $36-38, short term traders, don't jump
your short guy.
becareful... we need to wait lao hai' and brcm s prediction on Monday... I have feel it will go up big, but becareful when chase high.. ha...ha... good luck to all of us
原帖由 小小草 于 2008-3-21 20:35 发表 好像大家对金融股的强烈反弹意见很一致，可以SHORT了，还得见新低。After financial stocks's nice run up, this observation is really cool and interesting..... My hunch target for financial this round is ...
Cup Handle 之后应有个小Rally below $30, after that I anticipate another drop. From FA point of view, the second drop is probably more related with earings, rather than write-down
原帖由 jsl 于 2008-3-22 00:14 发表 Cup Handle 之后应有个小Rally below $30, after that I anticipate another drop. From FA point of view, the second drop is probably more related with earings, rather than write-down 但我只是猜测 ...
嗯，我比较倾向于向上rally，完全是从MM阴谋论出发的。
If the upcoming drop is related with earning, the drop would be slow, right? 因为real economy衰退起来要缓慢的多，反映到bank er上也会很缓慢。
狗仔卡
其实俺都不知道那么多有什么用啊？两个就够了。
发表于 2008-3-21 06:37 PM
