通常能大量开出Option合约的只有MM或大户才有能力做到。从他们的合约开结的变化
我们可能(不是绝对)探测到MM或大户对指数未来走势的取向。比如说下面的例子,
新合约开出了爆量的153,030张,那肯定是MM不看好CALL,才开那么多CALL啊,要不然
岂不是自讨苦吃?
08-29:
2 |
XLF |
SEP 08 22 Call |
XLFIV |
0.56 |
0.00 (0%) |
117868 |
-375460 (-76.1%) |
404778 |
153040 (60.8%) |
08-28:
1 |
XLF |
SEP 08 22 Call |
XLFIV |
0.55 |
0.26 (91.4%) |
493328 |
456717 (1250%) |
251738 |
4427 (1.79%)
|
XLF向来是一个异数,从来都是CALL/PUT的open interest高达10倍于另一方的OI的。我如果没有
记错的话,三年前是PUT的OI多出10倍于CALL的OI(不大清楚是C还是P了,反正是一方10倍于另一方),
可能是银行用作对冲,保护自己仓位的办法吧。
但通过IWM,QQQQ,SPY的Option合约增减的研究,我们或许能从中探出MM对未来大市走向看多还是看空。
我跟踪这些OI增减的数据没有持之以恒,都是间断式看看而已,若有兴趣者固定的每日跟踪,拿出来讨论一下,
我看也不会费很多时间。不一定有效,但多从一个侧面了解MM的取向,或当作娱乐吧 。
我由于下午有工作在身,不能收市后马上post出来,有志愿者把数据每天下午贴出来就好了。连接是:
https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/MAOptions
只选头一行High Volume, 其它的没什么意义。
焦点是最后一拦的Open Inerest Change。感觉是5K以上的增减才有意义。olume Change
High Volume Stock Options |
Last Updated 08-29-08, 4:00PM EDT |
Rank |
Stock |
Option |
Option Symbol |
Closing Price |
Change |
Volume |
Volume Change |
Open Interest |
Open Interest Change |
1 |
HD |
SEP 08 22.5 Call |
HDIX |
4.65 |
0.00 (0%) |
221041 |
220916 (177000%) |
5612 |
-28 (-0.5%) |
2 |
XLF |
SEP 08 22 Call |
XLFIV |
0.56 |
0.00 (0%) |
117868 |
-375460 (-76.1%) |
404778 |
153040 (60.8%) |
3 |
FRO |
SEP 08 55 Call |
FROIK |
5.45 |
0.35 (6.86%) |
95324 |
95157 (57000%) |
1272 |
-57 (-4.29%) |
4 |
XLF |
OCT 08 24 Call |
XLFJX |
0.44 |
0.02 (4.82%) |
92049 |
78182 (564%) |
15789 |
13545 (604%) |
5 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 46 Put |
QQQUT |
0.93 |
0.27 (40.2%) |
88619 |
53203 (150%) |
251409 |
6077 (2.48%) |
6 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 45 Put |
QQQUS |
0.56 |
0.18 (44.9%) |
68524 |
41819 (157%) |
153439 |
3238 (2.16%) |
7 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 46 Call |
QQQIT |
1.08 |
0.00 (0%) |
59056 |
46298 (363%) |
52400 |
992 (1.93%) |
8 |
XLF |
OCT 08 23 Call |
XLFJW |
0.69 |
0.00 (0%) |
55942 |
-148252 (-72.6%) |
106268 |
102567 (2770%) |
9 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 47 Put |
QQQUU |
1.47 |
0.40 (37.6%) |
51318 |
18074 (54.4%) |
151749 |
7218 (4.99%) |
10 |
SPY |
NOV 08 122 Put |
SPYWR |
2.88 |
0.50 (21.2%) |
46552 |
46089 (9950%) |
33320 |
426 (1.3%) |
11 |
SPY |
SEP 08 125 Put |
SPYUU |
1.26 |
0.38 (44%) |
45949 |
29538 (180%) |
125640 |
339 (0.27%) |
12 |
DELL |
SEP 08 25 Put |
DLQUE |
3.25 |
2.28 (233%) |
44076 |
19479 (79.2%) |
53569 |
12920 (31.8%) |
13 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 48 Call |
QQQIV |
0.30 |
0.00 (0%) |
42619 |
13064 (44.2%) |
261573 |
-5260 (-1.97%) |
14 |
SPY |
SEP 08 129 Put |
SPYUY |
2.76 |
0.72 (35.2%) |
40613 |
13575 (50.2%) |
69871 |
1137 (1.65%) |
15 |
XLF |
DEC 08 18 Put |
XLFXR |
0.84 |
0.00 (0%) |
40342 |
40205 (29300%) |
45201 |
11 (0.024%) |
16 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 47 Call |
QQQIU |
0.60 |
0.00 (0%) |
37642 |
-3488 (-8.48%) |
75161 |
-83 (-0.11%) |
17 |
F |
OCT 08 5 Call |
FJA |
0.34 |
0.11 (44.7%) |
36306 |
35117 (2950%) |
9914 |
612 (6.58%) |
18 |
F |
SEP 08 5 Call |
FIA |
0.14 |
0.05 (58.8%) |
34459 |
32946 (2180%) |
51294 |
559 (1.1%) |
19 |
SPY |
SEP 08 128 Put |
SPYUX |
2.30 |
0.63 (38.1%) |
33395 |
14852 (80.1%) |
133573 |
15290 (12.9%) |
20 |
HD |
SEP 08 20 Call |
HDID |
7.15 |
- |
33304 |
- |
794 |
- |
|
High Volume Stock Options |
Last Updated 08-28-08, 4:00PM EDT |
Rank |
Stock |
Option |
Option Symbol |
Closing Price |
Change |
Volume |
Volume Change |
Open Interest |
Open Interest Change |
1 |
XLF |
SEP 08 22 Call |
XLFIV |
0.55 |
0.26 (91.4%) |
493328 |
456717 (1250%) |
251738 |
4427 (1.79%) |
2 |
XLK |
OCT 08 21 Put |
XLKVU |
0.20 |
- |
261126 |
- |
10000 |
- |
3 |
XLF |
OCT 08 23 Call |
XLFJW |
0.70 |
0.28 (65.5%) |
204194 |
203650 (37400%) |
3701 |
405 (12.3%) |
4 |
XLF |
OCT 08 21 Call |
XLFJU |
1.57 |
0.46 (41.4%) |
169659 |
137212 (423%) |
96484 |
27750 (40.4%) |
5 |
XLF |
SEP 08 23 Call |
XLFIW |
0.31 |
0.18 (138%) |
121237 |
112749 (1330%) |
170254 |
141 (0.083%) |
6 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 43 Put |
QQQUQ |
0.12 |
0.00 (0%) |
72950 |
64952 (812%) |
102398 |
2538 (2.54%) |
7 |
XLF |
OCT 08 22 Call |
XLFJV |
1.05 |
0.36 (51.1%) |
69692 |
55670 (397%) |
65628 |
12572 (23.7%) |
8 |
LEH |
JAN 09 10 Put |
LYHMB |
1.75 |
0.00 (0%) |
62277 |
61534 (8280%) |
20966 |
103 (0.49%) |
9 |
XLF |
SEP 08 21 Call |
XLFIU |
1.06 |
0.44 (73%) |
59412 |
-30890 (-34.2%) |
198188 |
-359 (-0.18%) |
10 |
SPY |
SEP 08 130 Call |
SFBIZ |
2.36 |
0.71 (42.6%) |
58272 |
20914 (56%) |
129533 |
7143 (5.84%) |
11 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 47 Call |
QQQIU |
0.94 |
0.02 (2.16%) |
41130 |
-22924 (-35.8%) |
75244 |
-16988 (-18.4%) |
12 |
XLF |
SEP 08 20 Put |
XLFUT |
0.43 |
0.00 (0%) |
39237 |
22250 (131%) |
237038 |
8238 (3.6%) |
13 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 46 Put |
QQQUT |
0.66 |
0.00 (0%) |
35416 |
-62 (-0.17%) |
245332 |
8584 (3.63%) |
14 |
MRVL |
SEP 08 15 Put |
UVMUC |
0.90 |
0.00 (0%) |
35307 |
19241 (120%) |
42526 |
-1798 (-4.06%) |
15 |
SPY |
SEP 08 124 Put |
SPYUT |
0.69 |
0.00 (0%) |
34082 |
18291 (116%) |
126572 |
3734 (3.04%) |
16 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 47 Put |
QQQUU |
1.07 |
0.00 (0%) |
33244 |
-5717 (-14.7%) |
144531 |
4693 (3.36%) |
17 |
SPY |
SEP 08 130 Put |
SFBUZ |
2.49 |
0.00 (0%) |
31833 |
26232 (468%) |
79789 |
-1287 (-1.59%) |
18 |
XLF |
OCT 08 17 Put |
XJZVQ |
0.25 |
0.00 (0%) |
30584 |
1112 (3.77%) |
48928 |
28941 (145%) |
19 |
LEH |
JAN 09 22.5 Call |
LYHAX |
1.47 |
0.18 (14%) |
30036 |
29989 (63800%) |
9216 |
11 (0.12%) |
20 |
QQQQ |
SEP 08 48 Call |
QQQIV |
0.51 |
0.00 (0%) |
29555 |
-13121 (-30.7%) |
266833 |
12148 (4.77%) |
|
|