2013-10-12_weekly updates on CHAN chart

austinjoe

No major change on monthly and daily chart  as posted for 2 weeks ago -- 2013-09-21_weekly updates on CHAN chart.

The rise from Oct 2011 is in 背驰段 on Monthly chart, and it's 2 day 中枢 up trend. Day 中枢 is as following 1266 [1343, 1422] 1474, and 1560 [1627, 1687] 1709. I have updated weekly chart to show the rise from 2009 SPX low 666 as well to show the Week 中枢盘整背驰.

SPX leave the 5F中枢 on 30Mn chart this past week and finish 2 中枢 1F down trend and then bounce up violently from 1645, it's 1F线段类上涨 and if SPX gap down per /ES then 1F中枢 will be formed around 1700.

As I posted in 捷思's last update in --- 这两天怎么缠呀 . The 级别 of SPX down run from 1730 to 1645 is muddy as I use 1分线段递归 on SPX.

If start draw 中枢 from 09/23 SPX low 1697, then it's a 5F中枢, and last Friday 10/04 SPX high  1691.94 is 5F中枢 3rd sell. 10/09 SPX low 1646.47 is 1F 1st Buy + 5F中枢盘整背驰.

If start draw 中枢 from 09/25 SPX low 1691.88, till 10/04 SPX high 1691.94, then it's a 30F中枢. And in this case 10/09 SPX low is 30F中枢盘整背驰 + 1F 1st Buy.

In one word, SPX is 中枢震荡 under 日级中枢 + 30F中枢 and 5F中枢. Hence please play carefully here as milan1126 stated in his post -- 很有可能今天刚分析完明天就被打脸了.

milan1126

If tomorrow market gaps down at current ES level, it is 三级别中枢震荡~

austinjoe

milan1126 发表于 2013-10-13 10:33 PM
If tomorrow market gaps down at current ES level, it is 三级别中枢震荡~

Yep. It's a 震荡市场. 30F ZD-- ZG -- SPX 1676 -- 1670 will work pretty good now. Just curouse, do you play ES?

milan1126

austinjoe 发表于 2013-10-13 11:46 PM
Yep. It's a 震荡市场. 30F ZD-- ZG -- SPX 1676 -- 1670 will work pretty good now. Just curouse, do  ...

Nope, I don't have fund to play now. I just play a virtual account.

austinjoe

Oct 15, 2013 update-- today SPX's wide swing make the rise from SPX 1645 grow to 5F 级别. 2 1F中枢 ( yellow box in 30 min chart) overlap to make it grow to 5F中枢Today's spx low 1695.93 has the potential to serve as 5F 2nd buy + 3rd buy.

However, if look in big picture under 30F中枢. The strength and its internal structure of the next rise needs to be watched closely. If SPX could not hit 1745 within next 2 days, it would be 5F中枢盘整背驰 + 30F中枢盘整背驰. It could be a perfect example of 区间套的精确定位 with 缠论.

austinjoe

Update Oct 20, 2013.

30Min chart still shows SPX under 背驰段 of 5F中枢盘整背驰. Howerver, 1Min chart shows SPX escape the 背驰段 of 1F中枢盘整背驰 last Friday, now SPX has to challenge the 1F趋势背驰.

1min chart, 0-7 is 1F线段类上涨, 7-16 formed a 5F中枢  1692.13 [1701.03, 1707.72]1711.72. From 16 most likely will be 1F趋势, 22 is 3rd buy on 1F中枢 (17/18/19/20), 22--23 break 盘整背驰 on 20--21. 24--25 is 盘整背驰 to 22--23 now, if 26 is lower than 23, then 2nd 1F中枢 will be formed and it's time to check 1F趋势背驰.

NOTE the strength of rise from 16 (14) is far weaker than the rise from 0--7. Hence 背驰段 of 5F中枢盘整背驰 is still valid unless the rise from 16 could grow to more than 3 1F中枢上涨趋势 to show enough strength on 0--7 to break up the 5F中枢盘整背驰.

Next week, key points to watch for SPX:

1> 1741.21  SPX drop bellow will have 2nd 1F中枢 formed.

2> 1707.72 and 1711.72, SPX next 1F走势 if stop above them, it could grow to 2 5F中枢上涨趋势, but keep in mind that it has to fight 30F中枢盘整背驰 -- SPX rise from June low 1560 to 1709, which is 150 points rise on spx.

austinjoe

Oct 25, 2013 update.

Last 1F趋势背驰 formed the 2nd 5F中枢 in 174x area and make the rise from Oct 9 low spx grow to 5F中枢上涨趋势, 2 5F中枢 show as red circle in 30Min chart, now it's 5th 1F走势 which has 2 1F中枢 show as yellow box. 中枢 DD [ZD, ZG] GG for 5F and 1F as following:

5F中枢: 1740.50 [1741.71, 1747.79] 1759.33

1F中枢: 1752.45 [1755.47, 1757.20] 1758.46  == Here ZD 1755.47 is 3rd Buy for the above 5F中枢. Next week watch point -- potential 30F中枢盘整背驰 + 5F趋势背驰 + 1F趋势背驰.