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旗帜鲜明:buy dip and expect a higher high ahead

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发表于 2019-2-3 06:01 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式



Mid term: buy dip and expect a higher high ahead
long term: unknown.  check moreliver's post on monthly indicator:
http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=408253

2019.02.PNG

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发表于 2019-2-3 06:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2019-2-3 07:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 xinxing 于 2019-2-3 07:17 PM 编辑

感谢littletiger分享S&P 500 Stocks的统计分析数据。 敢问楼主有没有同时计算 这些股票的 涨和跌的对比,也就是“绝对广量指标” Absolute Breadth Index (ABI)?
$$ ABI = 100*\frac{|上涨家数-下跌家数|} {(上涨家数+下跌家数)}, $$
它是设计用来侦测市场潜在的活跃度的。 可以将ABI想像成一个“极端指标”,ABI的数据越高,表示整体市场的涨跌家数差异越大。 这个指标,象地震有前兆那样,能预知暴跌。
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发表于 2019-2-3 07:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2019-2-3 10:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-2-22 08:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
it has been going up and up for the past 3 weeks. Have NOT seen any sign of top yet from my trading system. Quarterly , monthly and weekly indicators are all in up trend.
Gut feeling, however, I feel it might be some correction in March. And if it happens, it is opportunity to load up again.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-3-9 09:35 AM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-2-22 08:21 PM
it has been going up and up for the past 3 weeks. Have NOT seen any sign of top yet from my trading  ...

2019.03, correction will continue till it hits 50%
2019.03.PNG
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发表于 2019-3-10 04:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
Likely. no good news recently
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-4-27 11:11 AM | 显示全部楼层
5+% correction will come

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发表于 2019-4-27 06:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-3-9 09:35 AM
2019.03, correction will continue till it hits 50%

你这个绿色曲线指标的代码是什么?怎样查?谢谢!
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发表于 2019-4-27 06:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-4-27 11:11 AM
5+% correction will come

你3月份的图已经过去将近两个月了!再重新上个图吧?
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-4-28 08:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
wreckbeach 发表于 2019-4-27 06:42 PM
你3月份的图已经过去将近两个月了!再重新上个图吧?

it seems hard to upload pictures
sp500-vs-sp500-stocks-above-50d-sma-params-20140427_20190426-x-x-x.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-4-28 08:47 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 littletiger 于 2019-4-28 08:49 AM 编辑
wreckbeach 发表于 2019-4-27 06:42 PM
你3月份的图已经过去将近两个月了!再重新上个图吧?

Look back from Early February to now.
New high is made. and there was a short-lived correction in March. The March correction was bought up so quickly.
Looking forward: May or June should have a bigger correction. But once again, it is a correction.
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发表于 2019-4-28 05:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-4-28 08:47 AM
Look back from Early February to now.
New high is made. and there was a short-lived correction i ...

People used to say: Market is always right. If it is right, it does not need to correct.



  
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-5-11 07:18 AM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-4-28 08:47 AM
Look back from Early February to now.
New high is made. and there was a short-lived correction i ...

May correction is happening. At this moment, it is unclear if the correction is over or not. Gut feeling by reading chart: it should have 1 more retesting of the bottom
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-5-11 07:18 AM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-4-27 11:11 AM
5+% correction will come

minimum target is reached.
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-6-2 09:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
中期指标(1-2月):熊市
短期指标 (几天-1,2周):熊市

预计6月可能筑底:这意味还没完全到底,但是预计会有一个至少是短期的低位
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-6-22 01:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
littletiger 发表于 2019-6-2 09:20 AM
中期指标(1-2月):熊市
短期指标 (几天-1,2周):熊市

new high? but i see danger is coming. The title of this post will be changed by then.

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 楼主| 发表于 2019-8-11 11:08 AM | 显示全部楼层
At this stage, it is hard for me to figure out the market will go up or down. in middle of June, (as shown in the last post above) I saw signals of topping. Now since the market is the between, no signal of top or bottom.

my gut feeling is, a lower low should happen first before any new high.

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发表于 2019-8-11 02:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
$$ ABI = 100*\frac{|上涨家数-下跌家数|} {(上涨家数+下跌家数)}, $$
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