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[技术分析] 05/25/2010 大盘回顾 (Will the 3rd time be the charm?)

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发表于 2010-5-25 06:22 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


  TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart)
Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY    
Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 4 of 5 are NEUTRAL Non-Stop Model is in SELL mode
Short-term 1 of 1 are SELL 4 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode
BULLISH 0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: Bottomed?
0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high.
0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Oversold.
0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: CPC MA(5) too high.
8.1.1 Normalized NATV/NYTV: Bottomed? 
6.3.2c Major Distribution Day Watch: Bottomed?
05/20 Market Recap: Intermediate-term Indicator Score from sentimentrader is too low.
*0.1.3 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals: NYDNV too high.
BEARISH 0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Ascending Broadening Wedge? Target: 1008 to 1019.
6.4.1 Extreme NYADV Readings Watch: Lower close ahead.
0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Lower low ahead.
CONCLUSION  
SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING VEHICLE:
SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU, RSP
ST Model
Reversal Bar    
NYMO Sell    
Non-Stop 05/11 S N/A For general direction guide only.
Others      
OTHER ETFs TREND *DTFMS COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ DOWN    
IWM DOWN    
CHINA DOWN BUY 2 green bar in a row usually means more on the upside.
EMERGING DOWN   Bearish 1-2-3 formation breakdown, target: $32.13
EUROPEAN DOWN   4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.54.
CANADA DOWN   *TOADV MA(10) oversold.
BOND UP   *ChiOsc is way too low.
EURO DOWN *SELL *ChiOsc is way too high.
YEN UP  
GOLD UP   4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99.
GDX UP  
OIL DOWN  
ENERGY DOWN   Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target: $46.47
FINANCIALS DOWN   Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target: $12.99
REITS DOWN   Head and Shoulders Top? Target: $44.28
MATERIALS DOWN    

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
*DTFMS = Dual Time Frame Momentum Strategy. The signal is given when both weekly and daily STO have the same buy/sell signals.

SEASONALITY: THE LAST TRADING WEEK OF MONTH WAS BEARISH SINCE AUG 2009
 

See 05/21 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: PULLBACK TARGET AROUND 1008 TO 1019, NEXT TIME WINDOW AROUND 06/06

See 05/21 Market Recap for more details.

 

WARNING: If you don’t understand the true meaning of overbought/oversold, please skip the session below. Generally, you should try your best not to trade against the trend. Trading purely based on overbought/oversold while against the trend is lethal to the health of your account. Before going further, please make sure you understand how to use the table above.
SHORT-TERM: COULD SEE SOME WEAKNESS TOMORROW MORNING

 

0.1.0 SPY Short-term Trading Signals,今天是第三次SPX形成Bullish Reversal,前两次都失败了,那么是不是the 3rd time is the charm呢?I’m not sure,不过,至少机会应该比前两次大。明天如果有follow through的话,先定性为short-term rebound。由于SPY ST Model and Non-Stop Model还都是SELL,因此操作上暂时还是应该sell the bounce。

 

SPYShortTerm.png

 

1.0.0 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)ChiOsc way too high,这个是明天牛牛要注意的地方,可能早盘会有pullback。

 

SPY60min.png

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发表于 2010-5-25 06:22 PM | 显示全部楼层

第一次抢到蛇皮沙发
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# Cobra


    First page. Thanks for the hard work.
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks for your hard work. Today's report seems easier
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks a lot
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
thx so much
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
老大,明天收盘的几率绿>红?
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
first page
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
veli early today
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 06:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-5-25 07:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
1st page.
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