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[技术分析] 这次Rally 应该还没结束, 看看油这两天的走势。。

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发表于 2010-10-1 12:19 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Oil has been significantly under-performing in 2nd half of Sept. There might be some catch-up in the near future.

Reasons:
1) The breakout in oil today is pretty strong, with larger volume, see yesterday and today's volume spikes.
2) Consolidation of USO around $31-33 area has lasted for 1 month, thus the power of breakout could not be ignored.
3) Higher oil price in near future will benefit energy stocks, thus in favor of equity market.



4) Look at USO:SPY ratio, the downtrend starting Aug 2010 is broken by today's move, further indicating a catch-up play in oil.

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发表于 2010-10-1 02:08 AM | 显示全部楼层

抄完黄金炒石油,MM就这伎俩
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-10-1 05:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
the us goverment is trying to make US Dollar lower for the trade deficit and labor market, how can oil go higher if dollar is weak?
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发表于 2010-10-1 06:50 AM | 显示全部楼层
Higher oil price in near future will benefit energy stocks, thus in favor of equity market.
stringzero 发表于 2010-10-1 02:19


good point!
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发表于 2010-10-1 06:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
the us goverment is trying to make US Dollar lower for the trade deficit and labor market, how can oil go higher if dollar is weak?
SunSea 发表于 2010-10-1 07:56


dollar down, commodity up.

What is the question?
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发表于 2010-10-1 06:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-1 08:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
The market should hold up till the election week - one month from now. If we are currently in a extended wave 4, a wave 5 can push SPX to the 1200 area.

Expecting a sizable pull back to follow after the election, regardless which party taking the upper hand.
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发表于 2010-10-1 08:50 AM | 显示全部楼层
then look at finance.
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发表于 2010-10-1 09:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
OIL alway the last sector
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发表于 2010-10-1 11:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks
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发表于 2010-10-1 02:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-1 03:57 PM | 显示全部楼层


Oil has been significantly under-performing in 2nd half of Sept. There might be some catch-up in the ...
stringzero 发表于 2010-10-1 02:19
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发表于 2010-10-1 05:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-1 07:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-1 10:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
good one
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发表于 2010-10-1 11:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-2 06:10 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-10-2 11:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
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